I put this on X just now.

There's lots of tantalizing scenarios a weather person can imagine, but that's Fantasy Tracking. And, yet hard truth is hard to find currently. Colorado and Montana barely got any snow until May. June 1st Denver gets a hail storm that looks like snow fell. June 2nd a cold front dives down into the Carolinas with a beautiful breath of fresh air, but it'll disappear as fast as it dived down. 

There is a chance a Subtropical storm could develop fast off the East Coast near FL/Bahamas and exit Stage Right fast! There's a chance development in the EPAC close in that could cross over into BOC/Carib or the potential for development and fuel the ongoing semi-permanent wannabe Low in the Gulf. Nothing I'd place a bet on yet, but watching the set up and seeing where it goes. Still very early and too soon to scream June development. But maybe.... a sliver of a chance. Generally development in EPAC shears away any chances for the Gulf, but hey it's been an odd year and I expect odd to continue weather wise.

El Nino is building a mystery. Yes, we have an El Nino developing but what kind of El Nino? Where it sets up shop, digs in and explodes dictates what we see this Hurricane Season. Closer in more shear, further out less shear in the Caribbean. Lots riding on the actual location of the strength of the El Nino or does it all just fill in the way the way it did in 1997/98? That was a horrific El Nino for Pacific Rim populations. It may have been a season not to remember in the Atlantic, but for many in the rest of the world it was drought stricken, deadly and destructive. Note image below.