Disclaimer:  This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service.  ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, (to which you will see me at times, insert excerpts from various agencies due to the nature of the importance of the information) and I am solely responsible for the content.  As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions.  In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE.  I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc.  My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.
(T. F. “Storm” Walsh)

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I will reiterate, my forecasts are based on the available information at the time of analysis, and are only as accurate as the information analyzed and the solutions provided.

Good evening everyone!
Another Tropical Wave has entered the EATL.  The wave that entered the Atlantic a few days ago is now approaching the Caribbean Sea.
NATL IR SATELLITE LOOP
CURRENT NATL WATER VAPOR IMAGE 

The ECMWF EPS Cyclone Probability Forecast does not indicate any cyclone development for the Atlantic during the next 5 days.
ECMWF EPS CYCLONE PROBABILITY FORECAST 72 – 120 HOURS

As of 12Z (8:00 A.M. EDT), one wave was located near 58W, and the other near 25W.
12Z NHC SURFACE ANALYSIS (CLICK FOR LARGER IMAGE)

TPW (TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER) CHART (WAVE AXIS’ IN BLACK)

The waves are currently embedded in the SAL and a very dry atmosphere, and is forecast to remain in this environment during the next 5 days.  TPW analysis indicates TPW to be a little more favorable near the south portion of the waves, however the atmosphere remains relatively dry.
NASA GEOS 120 HOUR DUST FORECAST

Based on TPW animations, the waves are forecast to continue to the west and do not appear to provide any precipitation for the Antilles. 

Development of either wave is not expected.

Tropical Cyclone development is not expected during the next 5 – 7 days.

You may direct any questions by contacting me personally, ANYTIME, at: [email protected]

Have a blessed evening!

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