Gonna keep this simple today, as there really is not much to say about the area in the tropics that currently has an orange circle for possible formation as a subtropical storm. Still in the definitely maybe range, but either way it's going out to sea...to the East. IF it were to get a name from the NHC then it would be Kyle. I mean there are "things" to talk on as it's an interesting set up to learn from in that there are reasons it might develop in a different year. Even in November of 2026 it could develop into a short lived subtropical. 

The image above shows the red L that stands for Low and it IS a Low sitting out there stuck underneath a strong high pressure zone. To the southwest of it there's much convection in the Caribbean that also in another year might develop into a wild coastal cruiser moving up towards the front that you can easily make out in blue that is draped across Tennessee where tremendous flooding happened this morning in McCaysville, Georgia. Yes, it is on the Tennessee/Georgia border in a beautiful part of the world and a cute town that many people travel to for it's Appalachian Mountains flavor... both cuisine wise and music wise. Sadly the set up this year is for flooding and while we were lucky hurricane wise, we still got the flooding.  And, that's the dirty little secret of El Nino. As I said early in the season El Nino brings it's own form of misery and that's usually in drought, flooding and fires. It's a mixed bag of misery.