One nice wave, located a drop high.
Otherwise a meager group of waves.

It's July still, August ramps up.
May & June 

There's not much to talk about. The NHC main page is all blue without any yellow areas of interest. What is interesting is how unusual the pattern set up is this year and persistent; unrelenting and refusing to rearrange itself into a semi-normal pattern for July. And as we sail into August nothing is as it seems and yet everyone online is trying to make sense of it all and explain the various reasons it's been slow and why it should ramp up. Should is a word used when you aren't sure but "yeah likely" which is more like wishcasting than forecasting. But when it's slow that's what we do we banter and shoot the breeze on every statistic that hints at a change coming. 

Speculation!

It fueled the Florida Land Boom!!

Lots of speculation going on.

Regular Models vs A1 Models

Regular models show new wave off Africa...

...may go the distance.

A1 Models spray the SE Coast, Bahamas

and parts of the Caribbean with suggested tracks.

So basically anywhere from Florida to Carolinas

...to Bermuda

Lots of fishy tracks as a front moves off the coast.

Understand long range ensembles is like playing fetch with your puppy and throwing out 6 balls at a time in different directions watching to see which ball it goes after. "Show we where a cyclone might go?" and it tries to oblige. It does what it's told. It runs lots of scenarios. Only one two of the above possible tracks has any real strength but it looks scary.  But hey if it helps y'all get out there and get hurricane supplies before you are in the 3 day cone.... good.

Monday Morning... a few hours away

Will start over then...new models... and "The Wave" is still not off the coast.

It's like you want to play pinball, you are so ready and someone who works there says "no not yet we have to check something" and you just wanna pull it back and watch that ball go through the chute and start to play ball. I loved pin ball. Played really well in very high sexy heels. Height gave me leverage seeing how I'm on the short size. Was a real game changer ;)

Sweet Tropical Dreams......... 

...........of if you're in the Carolina.... Sweet Snowy Winter Dreams!

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather ...elsewhere whatever.

Yeah think of the ensembles like pinball possibilities

Funny I always think of that as an 80s song